Shandong cotton farmers reduced to a foregone conclusion

According to reports, as of December 12th, the purchase of seed cotton came to an end in most areas of Shandong Province. According to the person in charge of a ginning factory in Xiajin County, Texas, there are 4-5 companies in the region that have intermittently purchased seed cotton. The main purchase price is 2.70-3.00 yuan per kg (30%-40% of clothes, 10% moisture content), and individual quality is particularly good. The 3.10 yuan / kg. "One day I can receive 1000-2000 pounds of money, which means I have nothing to do with a ride." The person in charge is very helpless. Their plant is very scarce because of seed cotton. The factory only has one person in charge and one quality inspection. Personnel, other personnel have all been on holiday.

In Heze, Binzhou, Dongying, etc., it is also difficult to see large-scale acquisitions of ginning factories. Companies responded to two questions: First, Shandong's seed cotton saw a significant reduction in its market volume this year, with a reduction of 40-50%. The second is that most of the companies are in a loss situation, and the more losses the company has acquired in the early stages, the more it will be. On the 11th and 12th, Heze District 21 small cotton offer 12,700 yuan / ton (gross weight, with votes), 21 large cotton offer 13,000 yuan / ton, 31 large cotton offer 12,800 yuan / ton, the price is flat with the 10th However, due to the proximity to the cost price, companies are not profitable and sales are slow.

In mid-December, more than 70% of cotton farmers in Shandong completed the sale, but most of them reflected this year’s misery. Dongying introduced a package of cotton farmers with 110 mu of cotton and an average yield of 405 kg/mu of seed cotton, which was 27 kg/mu less than 2013, and the proportion of white cotton was reduced by 20%, and the width of frozen cotton and yellow flowers rose by 15%. Their cotton has been sold out so far and the average selling price is 2.93 yuan/kg. Kind of cotton wool yield 2.93 * 405 = 1186 yuan / mu. "This year's agricultural and land-use costs are almost the same as last year, and the total cost is about 1200 yuan/mu." The cotton farmer stated that he had lost 1200-1186=14 yuan/mu this year.

Most of the bales of cotton farmers fall into a micro-loss or marginal state, which is in stark contrast to the net income of 1,000 yuan/mu of corn and other food crops, and some of the net income of responsible farmers is only 500-600 yuan/mu. Unable to compare with other crops.

Talking about the reasons for the sharp decline in farmers' income this year, most cotton farmers believe that the first reason is that cotton production has been on the rise and that in 2014 it was even worse because of the weather. Second, because prices have fallen sharply. This year compared with the same period last year, the difference between the purchase price of seed cotton was as high as 1.50-1.60 yuan/kg, and cotton growers' profit at that point was basically squeezed out.

Shandong Xiajin is a well-known cotton plantation in China and is known as "silver Xiajin." In previous years, the area of ​​cotton in the county was 550-600,000 mu. In 2013, the area was 400,000 mu. In 2014, it was less than 25 million mu. In recent years, it has been declining year by year, especially in this year. During the investigation, it was learned that more farmers are expected to abandon cotton in 2015, and some “cotton” or “can only grow cotton” lands have also been abandoned by cotton farmers. "The Xiajin cotton field may be reduced to less than 100,000 mu next year," said a local market source. Perhaps the name "silver Xiajin" has become history.

In other key cotton areas, such as Liaocheng, Binzhou, Heze, and other places, there has also been a situation of “cotton retired from grain”. Due to the sharp decline in cotton fields, downstream cotton processing and textile industries are seriously threatened. It is estimated that by 2015, Shandong Cotton can only “bring” 40-50 400-type ginneries, that is, about 60-70% of companies will be eliminated. "It is even more sad that if the domestic cotton is drastically reduced, there will be a large number of foreign cotton coming in. The security of China's cotton industry is worrying." Market participants said.